Collinson FX: Trump tour of Asia is calming any global trade tensions
by Collinson FX 30 Oct 2025 12:35 NZDT
30 October 2025
Stormvogel - Start - Rolex Fastnet Race start - Cowes - July 26, 2025 © Richard Gladwell - Sail-World.com/nz
Oct 30: US market tests record highs
US Markets continued to rally, with equities tested record highs and bond yields tumbling. Market confidence is high, with the Federal Reserve expected to cut rates overnight and once again before Christmas.
The Trump tour of Asia is calming any global trade tensions and markets are loving it. The micro-economic problems are being brushed aside and the US Government shutdown, largely ignored. The longer the shutdown continues the more people realise how important the Government is. The EUR traded around 1.1650, while the GBP continue to suffer, falling to 1.3230.
Australian inflation spiked for the September quarter, jumping well above the target range, to 3.2%. This is a worrying sign, especially considering the weak economic situation, the economy is in. Australia experienced further price pressures in house prices, rates and electricity. These were already at painfully high levels and only add to the suffering of the average citizen, in terms of cost-of-living . This will probably ensure the RBA holds rates, at their next meeting, cutting upward moves on the Australian stock market. This did boost the AUD, which surged through 0.6600, while the NZD took on 0.5800.
Oct 28: Confident start to a productive week
Markets opened the week confidently, in what promises to be a very productive week, following last week’s gains. The US inflation number was cool enough, to ensure a Fed rate cut this week. The lead up to that decision should be largely positive speculation, while Trump visits Asia and the APEC meeting, at the end of the week.
Trump is also expected to meet with Chinese President Xi and perhaps conclude a trade deal. The US Dollar eased allowing the EUR to rise to 1.1640, while the consolidates above 1.3300.
Commodity currencies were beneficiaries of the softer reserve, with the AUD leaping above 0.6550, while the NZD regained 0.5750. Positive sentiment in the Asia Pacific region, leading into the APEC summit, with trade the focus.
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